Nomination Forecast | August

maxresdefaultThe nominations for the 17th Annual Black Reel Awards will be announced in approximately four months. For the first time in our awards history, there is a huge and diverse selection of choices in both the film, television, and independent film categories. As we enter into the “final quarter” of the year, which films and performances have a legitimate shot of having their names called in December?

This Week’s Updates:
These projections are based on personal impressions (based on advance screenings of hundreds of films each year), publicly available information (release dates, genres, talent rosters and teasers/trailers often offer valuable clues), historical considerations (comparing and contrasting how other films with similar pedigrees over our awards history have resonated), and conversations with industry insiders (including fellow members of the press, awards strategists, filmmakers and awards voters), TheFilmGordon awards’ analyst currently projects…

Outstanding Film

  • birththumb-1460743741317_1280wFRONTRUNNERS

    The Birth of A Nation (Fox Searchlight)
    Hidden Figures (20th Century Fox)
    Moonlight (A24)
    Fences (Paramount)
    Loving (Focus Features)


    Southside With You (Roadside Attractions)
    Queen of Katwe (Walt Disney)
    A United Kingdom (Pathé)
    Collateral Beauty (Warner Bros.)
    Morris From America (A24)


    Miles Ahead (Sony Pictures Classics)
    Don’t Think Twice (The Film Arcade)
    All Eyez On Me (Open Road)


    How to Tell If You’re A Douchebag (Big Vision Creative)
    The Fits (Oscilloscope)
    Nina (RLJ Entertainment)

    Outstanding TV Movie or Limited Series


    American Crime (ABC)
    People vs. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story (FX)
    Confirmation (HBO)
    Roots (History)
    Lady Day at Emerson’s Bar & Grill (HBO)


    All the Way (HBO)
    Jean of the Joneses (TV One)
    Showing Roots
    The Breaks (VH1)
    Toni Braxton: Unbreak My Heart 

    Outstanding Independent Feature


    The Land
    How To Tell If You’re A Douchebag
    Five Nights in Maine


    Destination: Planet Negro
    The Sin Seer

    Outstanding Actor, Motion Picture


    Nate Parker, (The Birth of A Nation)
    Denzel Washington (Fences)
    Don Cheadle (Miles Ahead)
    Will Smith (Collateral Beauty)
    Trevante Rhodes (Moonlight)


    David Oyelowo (A United Kingdom)
    Parker Sawyers (Southside With You)
    Markees Christmas (Morris From America)
    Keegan-Michael Key (Don’t Think Twice)
    Denzel Washington (The Magnificient Seven)

    Outstanding Actor, Television Movie or Limited Series


    Courtney B. Vance (The People vs. OJ Simpson: American Crime Story)
    Cuba Gooding Jr. (The People vs. OJ Simpson: American Crime Story)
    Malachi Kirby (Roots)
    Rege Jean-Page (Roots)
    Tristan Wilds (The Breaks)


    Wesley Johnathan (Bad Dad Rehab)
    Romany Malco (Mad Dogs)
    Adrian Lester (Undercover)
    Robert Ri’chard (Bad Dad Rehab)
    Rick Gonzales (Bad Dad Rehab)

    Outstanding Actress, Motion Picture


    Ruth Negga, (Loving)
    Taraji P. Henson (Hidden Figures)
    Viola Davis (Fences)
    Tika Sumpter (Southside With You)
    Madina Nalwanga (Queen of Katwe)


    Royalty Hightower (The Fits)
    DeWanda Wise (How To Tell If You’re A Douchebag)
    Zoe Saldana (Nina)
    Monique (Interwoven)
    Halle Berry (Kidnap)

    Outstanding Actress, Television Movie or Limited Series

    Kerry Washington, (Confirmation)
    Audra McDonald (Lady Day at Emerson’s Bar & Grill)
    Teyonah Parris (Love Under New Management: The Miki Howard Story)
    Sophie Okonedo (Undercover)
    Taylour Paige (Jean of the Joneses)


    Afton Williamson (The Breaks)
    Laverne Cox (The Rocky Horror Picture Story)
    Uzo Azuba (Showing Roots)
    Lex Scott Davis (Toni Braxton: Unbreak My Heart)
    Sophie Okonedo (The Hallow Queen) 

    Outstanding Supporting Actor, Motion Picture


    Craig Robinson (Morris From America)
    Colman Domingo (The Birth of A Nation)
    Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)
    Mykelti Williamson (Fences)
    Andre Holland (Moonlight)


    Stephen Henderson (Fences)
    Chadwick Boseman (Captain America: Civil War)
    Chiwetel Ejiofor (Doctor Strange)
    Alano Miller (Loving)
    Jovan Adepo (Fences) 

    Outstanding Supporting Actor, Television Movie or Limited Series


    Sterling K. Brown (The People vs. OJ Simpson: American Crime Story)
    Wendell Pierce (Confirmation)
    Michael K. Williams (The Night Of)
    Forest Whitaker (Roots)
    Andre Benjamin (American Crime)


    Anthony Mackie (All the Way)
    Jeffrey Wright (Confirmation)
    Chad E. Coleman (Roots)
    Trevor Jackson (American Crime)
    Malachi Kirby (Black Mirror) 

    Outstanding Supporting Actress, Motion Picture


    Aja Naomi King (The Birth of A Nation)
    Janelle Monáe (Hidden Figures)
    Naomi Harris (Moonlight)
    Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures)
    Lupita Nyong’o (Queen of Katwe)


    Gugu Mbatha-Raw (Queen Sloane)
    Zoe Saldana (Live By Night)
    Gabrielle Union (The Birth of A Nation)
    Janelle Monáe (Moonlight)
    Emayatzy Corinealdi (Miles Ahead)

    Outstanding Supporting Actress, Television Movie or Limited Series


    Regina King (American Crime)
    Anika Noni Rose (Roots)
    Emayatzy Corinealdi (Roots)
    Angela Bassett (American Horror Story – Season 6)
    Jennifer Hudson (Hairspray Live!)


    Erica Tazel (Roots)
    Erica Ash (Jean of Joneses)
    Gugu Mbatha-Raw (Black Mirror)
    Aisha Hinds (All the Way)
    Sherri Shepherd (Jean of Joneses) 

    Outstanding Director, Motion Picture


    Nate Parker (The Birth of A Nation)
    Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)
    Denzel Washington (Fences)
    Amma Assante (A United Kingdom)
    Don Cheadle (Miles Ahead)


    Antoine Fuqua (The Magnificient Seven)
    Tahir Jetter (How to Tell You’re A Douchebag)
    Benny Boom (All Eyez On Me)